Speedy-Spouse
0x54b2b5aaaf0173380faecc6e8de92f3e1f65e333
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
65
Open notional
$12.12
Total PnL
$-69.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 75.5¢·now 85.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.26
$0.26
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.57
$0.57
- NO
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
2 shares @ 82.9¢·now 57.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.39
$-0.61
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 19.7¢·now 20.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$1.03Jul 13, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$1.03Jul 13, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$1.00Jul 13, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.01Jul 13, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?$1.02Jul 5, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$1.02Jul 5, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$1.02Jul 5, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.02Jul 4, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$9.09Jul 4, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1.52Jul 3, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1.01Jul 3, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?$1.02Jul 3, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$1.03Jul 3, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?$1.02Jul 2, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?$1.02Jul 2, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?$1.02Jul 2, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-07-01?$1.41Jul 2, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$3.33Jul 1, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-01?$1.01Jul 1, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$1.02Jul 1, 08:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 20:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 08:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.