Grand-Reasoning
0x54b56146656e7eef9da02b3a030c18e06e924b31
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$100.2K
Total PnL
$101.9K
Realised
$148.1K
Win rate
49%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
35000 shares @ 15.6¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$34.3K
$28.9K
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
20000 shares @ 22.7¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.9K
$10.4K
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.4K
$425.00
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
8000 shares @ 70.4¢·now 77.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.2K
$589.30
- NO
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 60.4¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.0K
$-87.50
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
12000 shares @ 41.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.4K
$481.92
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
8000 shares @ 39.5¢·now 42.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.4K
$203.52
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
8000 shares @ 12.6¢·now 39.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.1K
$2.1K
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
4000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 74.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$1.8K
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
4000 shares @ 59.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.3K
$-61.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.32Jun 13, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.47Jun 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.31Jun 13, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.45Jun 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.47Jun 13, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.49Jun 13, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.65Jun 13, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.02Jun 13, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.88Jun 13, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.88Jun 13, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.50Jun 13, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.65Jun 13, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$66.58Jun 13, 04:24 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$54.52Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$64.37Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.28Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.34Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$40.86Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$334.91Jun 12, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.09Jun 12, 23:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $101.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.