Everlasting-Dealer
0x54bf5c5f8e1f67666cc0b5774bc392b88010cb7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$734.80
Total PnL
$-145.12
Realised
$6.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
600 shares @ 92.4¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$573.90
$19.50
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$98.75
$8.75
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$20.00
$4.40
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
20 shares @ 34.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.00
$13.06
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
100 shares @ 18.2¢·now 10.8¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$10.80
$-7.40
- YES
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
30 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.25
$-0.15
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
200 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$-11.70
- YES
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Aug 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 5, 02:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 1, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?$2.40Jul 31, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$6.94Jul 31, 14:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $25.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.