Sarcastic-Sycamore
0x55554d61201156bad9deabd67513b64685d5823b
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$6.6K
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$-66.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
777 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$759.91
$68.38
- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
777 shares @ 50.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$563.32
$174.82
- NO
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
831 shares @ 73.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$527.82
$-78.97
- NO
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
444 shares @ 94.1¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$422.91
$5.11
- NO
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
445 shares @ 89.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$376.02
$-20.02
- YES
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
777 shares @ 55.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$361.31
$-66.05
- NO
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
444 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$357.42
$2.22
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
333 shares @ 87.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$323.51
$33.80
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
322 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$313.68
$17.39
- NO
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$304.69
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$224.45Jun 13, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$69.05Jun 13, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$209.42Jun 13, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$611.70Jun 13, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$661.34Jun 13, 07:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lautaro Martínez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$135.08Jun 8, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Díaz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$79.68Jun 8, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jamal Musiala score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$80.65Jun 8, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Havertz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$79.68Jun 8, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$81.62Jun 8, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$82.59Jun 8, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikel Oyarzabal score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$83.56Jun 8, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$84.52Jun 8, 07:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $175.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.