Untidy-Handle
0x556d9f5a26169e2cd8447ccd662b5db9fa8fa75c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$375.51
Total PnL
$-397.67
Realised
$13.08
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
238 shares @ 83.9¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$211.00
$11.00
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
271 shares @ 25.8¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$73.05
$3.05
- YES
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$25.52
$5.52
- YES
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
94 shares @ 32.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$23.91
$-6.09
- YES
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$20.34
$0.34
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.21
$0.21
- YES
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
24 shares @ 41.7¢·now 39.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$9.47
$-0.53
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.01
$-7.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
140 shares @ 70.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-98.92
- YES
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
102 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-56.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jul 18, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$20.59Jul 18, 23:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$20.57Jul 12, 23:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $17.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.