Kind-Crust
0x55ae9e10350531867b7be22b72a3ba25855acb7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$18.27
Total PnL
$-2.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.22
$1.22
- ROCKETS
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.83
$0.84
- PISTONS
Timberwolves vs. Pistons
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$1.83
$0.84
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. 76ers
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$1.76
$0.78
- YES
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- HORNETS
Suns vs. Hornets
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$1.65
$0.66
- CELTICS
Celtics vs. Heat
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.59
$0.61
- 76ERS
Timberwolves vs. 76ers
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$1.46
$0.47
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. 76ers$1.00Mar 31, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. 76ers$1.00Mar 31, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Hornets$1.00Mar 31, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Pistons$1.00Mar 31, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Bulls$1.00Mar 31, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Heat$1.00Mar 31, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-1.5)$1.00Mar 31, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Magic (-3.5)$1.00Mar 31, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$2.14Jan 14, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$2.22Jan 14, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.33Jan 14, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$1.00Jan 14, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$1.00Jan 14, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Jan 14, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 14, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Jan 14, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.00Jan 14, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.00Jan 14, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 10:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 05:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 11:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.