0x5626f09fb239143fe0b0ee4cb05157893e9268ee
0x5626f09fb239143fe0b0ee4cb05157893e9268ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$18.94
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
185 shares @ 53.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.91
$-86.09
- YES
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?
201 shares @ 33.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.03
$-63.23
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
7833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-47.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
5800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.80
- NO
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
1650 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
1497 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?
1055 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-246.83
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
479 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?
364 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-40.07
- YES
Will Kosovo vs. Türkiye end in a draw?
291 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?$21.71Apr 26, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$88.72Apr 26, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$500.00Apr 17, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?$262.72Apr 17, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?$246.83Apr 16, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?$68.26Apr 15, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$100.00Apr 14, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?$100.00Apr 14, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?$88.52Apr 14, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?$100.00Apr 14, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?$81.40Apr 14, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$100.00Apr 14, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?$50.00Apr 13, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?$50.00Apr 12, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?$40.07Apr 12, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?$100.00Apr 12, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$2.0KApr 10, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$33.00Apr 1, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win on 2026-03-31?$34.53Mar 31, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kosovo vs. Türkiye end in a draw?$3.00Mar 31, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $164.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 21:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 08:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.