Impure-Contagion
0x56546de2c867c2b40fdb138cd20f8de4b4bdb33e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-6.1K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1887 shares @ 16.4¢·now 52.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$989.55
$679.46
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3299 shares @ 35.3¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$214.43
$-951.57
- YES
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
19844 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.77
$-173.29
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
3400 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-510.00
- NO
James Comey arrested by May 15?
2830 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-587.00
- NO
Will Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?
1906 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-209.61
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
1724 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-910.40
- YES
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
1363 shares @ 66.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-903.40
- YES
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
1053 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
531 shares @ 74.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-396.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$0.47Jul 23, 15:16 UTC
- REWARD$4.48Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$207.35Jul 2, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$121.69Jul 2, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$145.37Jul 2, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$556.38Jul 2, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$301.50Jul 2, 02:48 UTC
- REWARD$0.48Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$461.70Jul 1, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$132.30Jul 1, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$66.00Jul 1, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.2KJul 1, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$568.56Jul 1, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.01Jul 1, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$523.63Jul 1, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.53Jul 1, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$469.81Jul 1, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$412.08Jul 1, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$303.87Jul 1, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$213.99Jul 1, 14:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $204.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 01:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.