Flat-Sword
0x5658cc64c4a15725b4a800f792eb208c795bef3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$38.91
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
90 shares @ 78.7¢·now 43.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$38.91
$-32.09
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
10571 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-134.28
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
10186 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-49.99
- YES
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?
3392 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-47.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4500 and $4600 on August 16 at 5PM ET?
937 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2025$0.00
$-224.98
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on August 16?
903 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2025$0.00
$-623.26
- NO
Will Solana dip to $110 in January?
312 shares @ 96.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on February 20?
158 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
115 shares @ 86.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.2KJun 5, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.0KMay 28, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Titan launch a token by March 31, 2026?$44.18May 28, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$48.28May 28, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMHYPE Up or Down on March 16?$52.19May 28, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$83.33May 28, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down on March 16?$103.46May 28, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on March 16?$106.30May 28, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$50.00Mar 16, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 16?$100.00Mar 16, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down on March 16?$100.00Mar 16, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYHYPE Up or Down on March 16?$50.00Mar 16, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on February 20?$22.22Mar 16, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 20?$20.00Feb 20, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 20?$30.00Feb 20, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLPenguin listed on Binance by March 31?$430.47Feb 20, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMMoonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?$298.51Feb 20, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 26-1?$308.00Feb 20, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 26-1?$375.01Feb 20, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguin listed on Binance by March 31?$339.01Jan 28, 14:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $197.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 08:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".