Virtuous-Exhibit
0x565e2a6c5f7a82a439cf70ff6a331071f95e875d
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$-96.97
Realised
$140.18
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
980 shares @ 85.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$887.20
$47.24
- NO
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
947 shares @ 84.4¢·now 88.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$834.08
$34.94
- NO
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?
803 shares @ 49.1¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$581.86
$187.68
- NO
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?
598 shares @ 70.2¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$427.56
$7.75
- NO
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
410 shares @ 73.4¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$307.46
$6.46
- NO
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?
302 shares @ 75.7¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$244.39
$15.97
- NO
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
229 shares @ 87.3¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$213.15
$13.15
- NO
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
210 shares @ 80.6¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.29
$19.72
- NO
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
189 shares @ 81.8¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$164.23
$9.79
- NO
Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026?
149 shares @ 54.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.14
$17.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$1.6KJul 27, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?$7.50Jul 26, 15:49 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.74Jul 26, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?$557.24Jul 25, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?$7.50Jul 22, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?$22.50Jul 22, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?$18.75Jul 22, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?$72.00Jul 22, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?$100.50Jul 22, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLMajor volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?$96.09Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLObama arrested before 2027?$322.28Jul 15, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$477.87Jul 15, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$125.98Jul 10, 14:32 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.09Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$56.29Jul 7, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$31.53Jul 7, 20:50 UTC
- REWARD$1.11Jul 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$48.82Jul 6, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?$11.43Jul 6, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?$559.09Jul 6, 06:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $138.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 08:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.