Alive-Steeple
0x567059a47077c1925d21012189e5137239232b9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$579.28
Total PnL
$-324.93
Realised
$-15.21
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
590 shares @ 33.9¢·now 38.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$225.86
$25.86
- YES
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
106 shares @ 9.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$105.64
$95.64
- NO
Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?
113 shares @ 88.6¢·now 88.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.49
$-0.51
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
247 shares @ 20.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.02
$3.02
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
118 shares @ 34.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$40.58
$0.58
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
86 shares @ 34.7¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.11
$-1.89
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.83
$-7.17
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
277 shares @ 30.9¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.47
$-73.23
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.28
$-4.72
- YES
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.23
$-4.77
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$6.35May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$20.84May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$10.47May 16, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5.22May 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.39May 16, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.39May 16, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.38May 16, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$41.36May 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$20.14May 16, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$5.24May 16, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$6.31May 16, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$29.91May 16, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$32.17May 16, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$5.24May 16, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$10.45May 16, 22:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $34.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".