Reflecting-Lake-Tribe
0x568a587cbd2d743898c0291a8ce437f636d51a89
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$7.56
Total PnL
$-23.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
41 shares @ 7.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.28
$1.28
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.31
$0.33
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
81 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
62 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
35 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
15 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 20, 2026?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?$2.33May 1, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?$4.31Apr 30, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?$5.35Apr 30, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?$1.05Apr 30, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?$5.02Apr 30, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?$1.04Apr 30, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Apr 29, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Apr 29, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.08Apr 29, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$2.80Apr 29, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?$1.00Apr 28, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?$1.00Apr 28, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?$1.00Apr 28, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$2.00Mar 26, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 21, 2026?$7.69Mar 25, 08:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 22:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.