Harmless-Shift-Mandate
0x574079d2cf8689492b8864526d2222f56415e7fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$8.78
Total PnL
$-12.19
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.52
$1.52
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.04Jun 10, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.06Jun 10, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.17Jun 10, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.06Jun 10, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.15Jun 10, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.01Jun 10, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.03Jun 10, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.05Jun 10, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$1.06Jun 10, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$1.04Jun 10, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$0.99Jun 9, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.01Jun 9, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.35Jun 8, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.05Jun 8, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.11Jun 8, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.01Jun 8, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.04Jun 8, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.05Jun 8, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$1.06Jun 8, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.03Jun 8, 07:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 07:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 11:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.