0x5756c82d86184d1cfd55f764ad479f6000671748
0x5756c82d86184d1cfd55f764ad479f6000671748
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-223.01
Realised
$-31.26
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
4950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
1650 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
1106 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
1100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
1100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
1100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
567 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
550 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
550 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
550 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?$7.15Mar 13, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$3.95Mar 13, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 13?$0.34Mar 12, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?$0.00Mar 12, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLRainbow Six Siege: Young Generation vs Seventh Heaven (BO3) - Asia-Pacific League Challenger Series: Asia Playoffs$0.04Mar 12, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$3.09Mar 12, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$1.75Mar 12, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.27Mar 12, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 13?$2.77Mar 12, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.64Mar 12, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?$0.00Mar 12, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$4.87Mar 12, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$9.72Mar 12, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$13.49Mar 12, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$4.21Mar 12, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 13?$1.32Mar 12, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.75Mar 12, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026$6.75Mar 12, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$5.32Mar 12, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?$0.00Mar 12, 17:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.