Grounded-Tog
0x57bf1c4ec582a12f1363a77012466ea3c9294e09
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.86
Total PnL
$-53.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 9.8¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $200 before 2026??
187 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit $150 before 2026??
156 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
152 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.44Apr 12, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025?$0.00Mar 15, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Mar 12, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 12, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 12, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.00Mar 7, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$1.00Mar 7, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) hit $150 before 2026??$1.20Dec 17, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$1.04Dec 17, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 before 2026?$2.00Dec 17, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.89Dec 17, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?$1.35Dec 5, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) hit $200 before 2026??$1.00Dec 5, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?$2.63Dec 5, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) hit $75 before 2026??$2.00Nov 23, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) hit $200 before 2026??$2.00Nov 23, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$0.99Nov 23, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 19:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".