Thorny-Cashew
0x57cd8cad26e2d72dbfb25f2642a486cc374282ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$15.6K
Total PnL
$-19.9K
Realised
$-5.4K
Win rate
33%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
3539 shares @ 64.9¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.2K
$898.13
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
4876 shares @ 48.9¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.1K
$-261.99
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
4863 shares @ 35.8¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$-16.49
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
1538 shares @ 87.8¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$162.98
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2345 shares @ 39.5¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.0K
$94.73
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?
543 shares @ 91.4¢·now 87.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$476.75
$-19.77
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
777 shares @ 46.1¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$438.89
$80.49
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
600 shares @ 65.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$399.00
$9.00
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
840 shares @ 38.3¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$386.27
$64.53
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
496 shares @ 56.1¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$262.72
$-15.39
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$135.00Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$23.37Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.30Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals$24.87Jun 12, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds$25.87Jun 12, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$40.59Jun 12, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.34Jun 12, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.34Jun 12, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?$81.00Jun 12, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?$14.00Jun 12, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.97Jun 12, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.86Jun 12, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.20Jun 12, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles$70.00Jun 12, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.70Jun 12, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.84Jun 12, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$10.62Jun 12, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$27.83Jun 12, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$4.90Jun 12, 01:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $26.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 19:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.