Adventurous-Timpani
0x57fef0e0aa928e9b0f8e1a5f7f4a314b9e0598fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.38
Total PnL
$-13.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
27 shares @ 7.4¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
944 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
118 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $620b and $630b on April 30?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
19 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- NO
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
11 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.04May 14, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.09May 11, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.19May 5, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$2.12Apr 30, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$2.23Apr 26, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$0.00Apr 26, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 24, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 24, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 24, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 24, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $620b and $630b on April 30?$1.00Apr 24, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$1.00Apr 24, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$1.00Apr 24, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$3.89Apr 24, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$0.00Apr 24, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.20Apr 24, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Apr 24, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.00Apr 24, 04:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 09:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.