Truthful-Drop
0x5847c7522ea5027152f75e64dae14a12d0f45420
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$958.33May 18, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$7.3KMay 18, 05:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$8.80May 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$2.4KMay 12, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$2.9KMay 12, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$2.9KMay 12, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$3.71May 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$18.05May 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$41.10May 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$728.27May 12, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$0.00May 12, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$660.08May 9, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$500.00Apr 15, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$500.00Apr 15, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?$0.00Apr 13, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?$0.00Apr 13, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$100.00Apr 13, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$27.8KApr 13, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$100.00Apr 13, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$40.0KApr 13, 04:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $5.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 17:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.