Raw-Steam
0x588ce22fb2bf698e5a3f61447a44b3afe0ad1bf4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$13.4K
Total PnL
$637.20
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
95%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
5870 shares @ 12.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$413.15
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
1038 shares @ 77.9¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$903.04
$94.40
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
806 shares @ 91.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$753.81
$17.47
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
1530 shares @ 41.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$742.05
$113.85
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
700 shares @ 77.6¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$552.99
$10.00
- NO
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
1263 shares @ 38.3¢·now 41.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$517.87
$34.60
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
787 shares @ 68.1¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$487.93
$-47.96
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
500 shares @ 79.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$476.50
$81.50
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
705 shares @ 63.6¢·now 66.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$465.30
$16.65
- NO
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
600 shares @ 68.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$441.00
$33.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?$29.49Jun 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?$40.37Jun 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?$50.71Jun 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?$6.50Jun 13, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?$13.00Jun 13, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$0.00Jun 13, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?$2.92Jun 13, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$71.94Jun 13, 09:50 UTC
- REWARD$3.39Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$14.26Jun 12, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$11.97Jun 12, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$14.52Jun 12, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$12.58Jun 12, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$78.00Jun 12, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?$52.00Jun 12, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?$106.00Jun 12, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$55.49Jun 12, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$42.09Jun 12, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$37.07Jun 12, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$178.00Jun 12, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $64.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 13:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.