Well-Worn-Guacamole
0x58c028e7c41ba7ef2bde2142cd371cf491661c8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$129.00
Realised
$131.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
868 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$768.44
$-12.95
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
719 shares @ 57.5¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$467.25
$53.79
- NO
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
550 shares @ 65.6¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$385.00
$24.29
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$370.60
$-5.40
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
350 shares @ 67.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$229.25
$-5.25
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
250 shares @ 83.4¢·now 89.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$223.99
$15.50
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
136 shares @ 72.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$88.91
$-8.82
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
500 shares @ 24.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$87.50
$-32.50
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
200 shares @ 39.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$83.00
$5.00
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
150 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$66.75
$0.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?$44.57Jun 14, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$82.43Jun 14, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$0.00Jun 14, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$120.00Jun 13, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$45.11Jun 13, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$29.58Jun 13, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$79.90Jun 13, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$62.94Jun 13, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$420.02Jun 13, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$98.83Jun 13, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$18.76Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$19.28Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$405.76Jun 12, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$18.39Jun 12, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$499.50Jun 12, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$29.97Jun 12, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$29.97Jun 12, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$42.79Jun 12, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$128.63Jun 12, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$52.06Jun 12, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $73.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 16:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.