Wary-Cycle
0x58e24ef8d60209be9069276a8c6ef767bc0c2aa4
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$188.87
Total PnL
$-7.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
161 shares @ 52.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$161.19
$76.19
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
31 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.68
$1.68
- SOMETHING
Nothing Ever Happens: March
220 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: May$11.28May 8, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$7.52May 1, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$7.52May 1, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.56Apr 19, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: April$3.55Apr 19, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: April$3.70Apr 18, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMSanta Cruz: Matias Soto vs Juan Carlos Prado$3.71Apr 18, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanta Cruz: Matias Soto vs Juan Carlos Prado$3.46Apr 17, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: April$3.43Apr 17, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: April$3.32Apr 17, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.04Apr 16, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$3.32Apr 10, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$3.32Apr 2, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$50.00Mar 27, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: March$50.00Mar 27, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Angélica Sosa win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$0.00Mar 25, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: March$30.00Mar 25, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$35.00Mar 25, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: March$5.00Mar 25, 06:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 05:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.