Third-Alto
0x58f1b0b8cfd4407aae9aed556ebad453462345cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$63.75
Total PnL
$2.70
Realised
$0.94
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
30 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$29.99
$2.10
- NO
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
10 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.00
$0.49
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 96.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.40
$-0.28
- NO
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
8 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.00
$-0.12
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
8 shares @ 87.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.76
$-0.20
- YES
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.72
$0.07
- NO
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 16.7¢·now 12.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.87
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.12Jun 13, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.12Jun 13, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$6.96Jun 10, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.65Jun 7, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?$7.15Jun 4, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$1.21Jun 2, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$8.01May 22, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$7.02May 20, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$9.72Apr 27, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$1.90Apr 27, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$16.80Apr 24, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$2.10Apr 24, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$4.98Apr 22, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$7.76Apr 17, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$10.67Apr 17, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$10.59Apr 10, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$1.14Apr 10, 10:52 UTC
- SPLITUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$30.00Apr 9, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$3.68Mar 30, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$16.94Mar 30, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 03:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.