Ashamed-Sentiment
0x5986747c0ca0d457cdd086f9387dc4f2bc4d83e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
85
Open notional
$942.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$1.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- NO
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
700 shares @ 49.4¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$426.95
$81.04
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
100 shares @ 68.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.50
$22.50
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
80 shares @ 95.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.40
$2.80
- NO
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
80 shares @ 89.5¢·now 93.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.48
$2.88
- YES
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
60 shares @ 28.0¢·now 85.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$51.45
$34.65
- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
800 shares @ 28.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$44.00
$-184.00
- NO
Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch?
40 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$38.22
$1.02
- NO
Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch?
33 shares @ 70.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.23
$6.90
- NO
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
40 shares @ 76.2¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.60
$-0.88
- NO
Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.88
$1.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$26.14Jul 22, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$101.35Jul 22, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.21Jul 22, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$42.26Jul 21, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$100.00Jun 28, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$100.00Jun 28, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$100.00Jun 28, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$100.00Jun 28, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?$100.00Jun 26, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$100.00Jun 26, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$99.99Jun 24, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$100.00Jun 23, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$100.00Jun 23, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$100.00Jun 23, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?$12.12Jun 19, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$99.99Jun 19, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$100.00Jun 19, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$100.00Jun 19, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$100.00Jun 19, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$100.00Jun 19, 08:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $53.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 10:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 21:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.