Enchanting-Anguish
0x59a75d6dc5777786d4f28305e4ab8866beba9f30
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$41.1K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$3.1K
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
16348 shares @ 88.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.7K
$1.3K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
40093 shares @ 27.8¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.8K
$-3.4K
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10000 shares @ 66.5¢·now 57.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.7K
$-944.99
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.8K
$517.50
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
2500 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$-12.50
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
2057 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$102.85
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2456 shares @ 52.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.1K
$-208.77
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1077 shares @ 58.6¢·now 85.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$917.04
$285.93
- YES
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
1000 shares @ 60.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$460.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
18157 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$317.75
$-148.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.18Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.19Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.19Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.18Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.19Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.21Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.21Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.23Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$3.22Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$3.24Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.24Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.25Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.41Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.42Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.42Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.39Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$3.33Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.00Jul 11, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.00Jul 11, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.00Jul 11, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $994.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.