Delayed-Event
0x5a0e5fa8698e534d3027c9f3e5fdaad8bfe4e639
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$39.70
Total PnL
$-430.05
Realised
$21.25
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
324 shares @ 6.2¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.60
$-11.40
- YES
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1050 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.83
$-5.73
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
63 shares @ 19.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
222 shares @ 4.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.22
$-4.78
- YES
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
2248 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.37
$-1.63
- YES
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
335 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.35
$-6.65
- YES
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
130 shares @ 7.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.78
$-7.22
- YES
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
59 shares @ 16.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.74
$-8.26
- YES
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-4.06
- YES
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
324 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.49
$-9.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$10.39May 16, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$6.23May 14, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$5.19May 13, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$67.97May 13, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$10.38May 12, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$10.39May 12, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$12.47May 11, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$78.61May 9, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$3.97May 1, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$10.00Apr 28, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$5.00Apr 28, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.10Apr 28, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.50Apr 28, 07:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 28, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 26, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.78Apr 25, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.60Apr 25, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$3.80Apr 25, 18:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $10.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.