Courageous-Median
0x5a40d84723fdfa6d5e91d78a576d9cba5772fbfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$14.82
Total PnL
$-117.44
Realised
$1.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$4.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 8.5¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.72
$-0.52
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.25
$-0.75
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
580 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.19
$-0.87
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
87 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.65
$-2.35
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
1031 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.37Jun 10, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4.18Jun 10, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?$4.18Jun 10, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$4.26Jun 10, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?$3.00Apr 24, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 23, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$3.00Apr 22, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$20.79Apr 17, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$1.21Apr 16, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 1, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.85Apr 1, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$2.50Mar 12, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$3.00Feb 28, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.90Feb 24, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$25.31Jan 28, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$4.00Jan 28, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $550 end of January?$5.00Jan 17, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q1 2026$3.00Jan 17, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 17, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$4.00Jan 17, 04:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 21:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.