Miniature-Recreation
0x5a589d7c7cabfd633bf1e65c8f0207c30aff1c33
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
117
Open notional
$105.90
Total PnL
$-233.25
Realised
$13.36
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- YES
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 48.6¢·now 49.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.12
$0.13
- YES
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.90
$-0.15
- YES
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.85
$-0.15
- YES
Another pandemic before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
5 shares @ 70.3¢·now 92.3¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$4.54
$1.08
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.99
$0.59
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$3.83
$0.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner$4.12Jul 28, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMBonn: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Giustino$5.12Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$4.94Jul 28, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBonn: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Giustino$1.38Jul 28, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$2.74Jul 28, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner$2.65Jul 28, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $142.50 Week of July 27 2026?$1.42Jul 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.57Jul 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYConnecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 156.5$2.64Jul 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group$2.58Jul 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group$3.18Jul 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Knokke-Heist: Francesca Pace vs Tatiana Pieri$2.64Jul 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 Week of July 27 2026?$2.53Jul 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $172.50 Week of July 27 2026?$2.97Jul 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $155 Week of July 27 2026?$3.47Jul 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of July 27 2026?$2.55Jul 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of July 27 2026?$3.39Jul 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $152.50 Week of July 27 2026?$3.00Jul 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$4.92Jul 28, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$4.75Jul 28, 05:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 06:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 14:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.