Virtuous-Deadline
0x5aec01932a51836bc151b5aa515ccea15a7d904b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$633.44
Win rate
96%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
274 shares @ 61.8¢·now 76.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$208.92
$39.86
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
357 shares @ 2.4¢·now 23.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$85.15
$76.41
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
108 shares @ 4.3¢·now 73.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$79.16
$74.47
- NO
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
97 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$77.65
$-2.91
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
89 shares @ 26.4¢·now 86.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.89
$53.36
- NO
Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?
69 shares @ 82.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$66.03
$9.32
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
115 shares @ 45.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.68
$9.85
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
112 shares @ 19.8¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.25
$27.08
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
86 shares @ 3.8¢·now 52.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.93
$41.64
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
106 shares @ 34.2¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$44.04
$7.74
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?$71.11Jul 29, 04:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?$0.06Jul 21, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?$0.00Jul 21, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.00Jul 21, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill OG Anunoby Jr. be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.00Jul 21, 08:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$5.00Jul 16, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?$7.00Jul 16, 04:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 49 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
49 closed markets, 96% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 17:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 04:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.