Glossy-Questionnaire
0x5b0c60871d8d45431b1bb502ee1db01f9fea10eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$78.04
Total PnL
$-717.26
Realised
$7.20
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 55.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.64
$1.59
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 43.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$5.85
$1.55
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
10 shares @ 71.3¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.56
$-1.34
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.34
$0.30
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
27 shares @ 23.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.64
$-1.46
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 90.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.58
$-1.72
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 82.5¢·now 82.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.13
$0.01
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5 shares @ 79.9¢·now 80.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 15.3¢·now 21.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.91
$1.09
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$3.80
$-0.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nacho Elvira finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?$4.26Jul 14, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Lower finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?$4.43Jul 14, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.44Jul 14, 01:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?$2.47Jul 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$4.43Jul 13, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?$2.71Jul 13, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYÍF Vestri vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to Score$1.25Jul 13, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?$3.65Jul 13, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2$3.75Jul 13, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$3.59Jul 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$3.90Jul 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$2.40Jul 13, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIntel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 38%-40%?$3.30Jul 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIntel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 38%-40%?$3.34Jul 13, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2.63Jul 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$3.85Jul 13, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Falcons Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$3.94Jul 13, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$3.65Jul 13, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$3.22Jul 13, 15:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 04:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 02:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.