0x5b8cf588362b68d7d5cff1f553c53ac54b4cffff
0x5b8cf588362b68d7d5cff1f553c53ac54b4cffff
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$39.17
Total PnL
$-225.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
22 shares @ 45.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.33
$12.13
- NO
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?
7 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$6.95
$4.45
- YES
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
4 shares @ 62.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$4.05
$1.50
- NO
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.68
$0.13
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
8 shares @ 33.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.05
$-0.50
- YES
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$-1.44
- NONGSHIM RED FORCE
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
7421 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.42
- SUNS
Thunder vs. Suns
303 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-69.75
- WEIBO GAMING
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
127 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-42.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 25?
95 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-14.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 27?$1.43Apr 27, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 27?$2.55Apr 27, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$2.55Apr 27, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$2.55Apr 27, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$4.90Apr 27, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$14.89Apr 27, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$1.04Apr 27, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$4.92Apr 27, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$1.04Apr 27, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$2.55Apr 27, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$2.55Apr 27, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$2.55Apr 27, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$2.55Apr 27, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$2.55Apr 27, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMGame Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)$4.83Apr 27, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMAvalanche vs. Kings: O/U 5.5$18.20Apr 27, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLLakers vs. Rockets$1.03Apr 27, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYAvalanche vs. Kings: O/U 5.5$2.55Apr 26, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAvalanche vs. Kings: O/U 5.5$2.55Apr 26, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAvalanche vs. Kings: O/U 5.5$2.55Apr 26, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 12:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.