Rude-Eyelashes
0x5be52604f8d3f22b15dc57ac68d52ba96b0871cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$6.30
Total PnL
$-12.27
Realised
$0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 27.4¢·now 32.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.93
$0.29
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 12.3¢·now 19.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
5 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.17
$-0.23
- YES
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
5 shares @ 5.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.07
$-0.21
- YES
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on March 31?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on March 31?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will TikTok be banned by March 31?
10 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$2.50Jul 9, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.03Jul 9, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$2.63Jul 9, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$1.02Jul 9, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$1.02Jul 8, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$0.98Jul 6, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.10Jul 6, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.33Jul 6, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.07Jul 3, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.06Jul 1, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1.04Jul 1, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1.04Jul 1, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLZohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?$1.14Jun 30, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 29, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.03Jun 29, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$0.66Apr 23, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.67Apr 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.57Apr 13, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.28Apr 13, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$3.25Apr 13, 16:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 14:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.