Carefree-Dignity
0x5c0950b2b190168c332b07cc9b39c031aecf639d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$10.10
Total PnL
$-193.23
Realised
$3.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.17
$-0.03
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
5 shares @ 69.7¢·now 31.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.58
$-1.90
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the CO-01 House seat?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-07 House seat?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.63
$-1.38
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.53
$-1.77
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
134 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.07
$-1.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -6°C on January 22?
1005 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.48Apr 15, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.20Apr 15, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$0.00Apr 14, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$2.35Apr 4, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$1.00Apr 4, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5$5.00Apr 4, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$5.00Apr 1, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$1.00Apr 1, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$25.00Mar 30, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMPurdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats$39.35Mar 29, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYPurdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats$24.49Mar 27, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPurdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats$3.55Mar 27, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?$0.00Mar 27, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?$3.54Mar 27, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?$3.33Feb 28, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$3.34Feb 28, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$4.10Feb 22, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the CO-06 House seat?$1.00Feb 22, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLAWS service disrupted by March 31?$3.10Feb 22, 05:28 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.08Feb 18, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 13:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".