Flickering-Patrimony
0x5c7014f6d6662017187e9b512942d836f2df5744
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$4.27
Total PnL
$-103.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.35
$-0.65
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.92
$-1.08
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
11 shares @ 8.7¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.71
$-0.29
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on April 13?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on April 13?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?
232 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$1.03May 30, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$18.32May 17, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 16, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.23May 16, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.21May 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 12?$1.07May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 12?$1.07May 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 12?$2.94May 13, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.49May 12, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.00May 11, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$1.04May 11, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX acquire Cursor?$2.06May 11, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$1.00May 11, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 12?$1.05May 11, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.06May 11, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.02May 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 11, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 3?$1.07May 3, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 22:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".