Hospitable-Skullcap
0x5c847a495fc2cc40220fcdf79f83f0be9473b3a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
66
Open notional
$74.57
Total PnL
$-138.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
87 shares @ 13.8¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$37.05
$25.05
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
339 shares @ 3.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$13.38
$2.38
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
61 shares @ 33.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.79
$-11.21
- YES
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
70 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.00
$0.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
243 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.09
$-1.91
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
198 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.09
$-12.91
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
337 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.84
$-4.16
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.50
$-4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$1.00Jun 11, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$1.04May 16, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.05May 16, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$1.00May 16, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$2.00May 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?$1.04May 15, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$1.04May 15, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$3.00May 15, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$1.04May 14, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.92May 14, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05May 14, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 14, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$1.00May 13, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.04May 13, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 13, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 13, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$1.02May 13, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?$1.02May 13, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?$1.03May 13, 20:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 16:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 20:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.