Athletic-Cement
0x5cb1f784246ffbeb8fb7b93ce702c2720008e80c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$49.81
Total PnL
$-386.06
Realised
$-11.32
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$25.30
$5.30
- POSITIVE
Ethereum ETF Flows on July 27?
30 shares @ 64.1¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$14.94
$-4.01
- NEGATIVE
Bitcoin ETF Flows on July 27?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$9.57
$0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 23?
200 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
189 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
118 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?
95 shares @ 85.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-81.33
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
92 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
87 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
57 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$20.21Jul 29, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$6.51Jul 29, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$3.10Jul 29, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?$9.99Jul 28, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?$7.50Jul 28, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF Flows on July 27?$4.95Jul 28, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF Flows on July 27?$2.06Jul 28, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF Flows on July 27?$2.06Jul 28, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF Flows on July 27?$5.16Jul 28, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin ETF Flows on July 27?$9.04Jul 28, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF Flows on July 27?$5.12Jul 28, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$13.83Jul 28, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?$18.32Jul 27, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?$13.00Jul 27, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?$50.63Jul 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?$10.06Jul 27, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?$10.07Jul 27, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?$10.07Jul 27, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?$5.01Jul 27, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?$10.03Jul 27, 02:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $20.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 10:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 09:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.