Loving-Signify
0x5d2f49295387e01a49f0a3e59449ceed791c4adb
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$16.7K
Total PnL
$1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 45.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$5.3K
$850.00
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?
3000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$2.5K
$1.6K
- NO
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?
2335 shares @ 42.8¢·now 63.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.5K
$470.87
- YES
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
2256 shares @ 88.6¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-792.82
- NO
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
2000 shares @ 39.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.1K
$290.00
- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$889.00
$-111.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
2222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$655.56
$-344.44
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4545 shares @ 22.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$613.64
$-386.36
- NO
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
3000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 20.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$606.00
$-293.06
- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
7059 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$599.99
$35.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?$376.92Aug 5, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?$26.92Aug 5, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?$3.00Aug 5, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?$0.54Aug 5, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?$17.50Aug 5, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?$0.01Aug 5, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$894.05Aug 5, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$1.57Aug 5, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$4.29Aug 5, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$0.08Aug 5, 10:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Aug 5, 02:33 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.58Aug 5, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$11.35Aug 5, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEM0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$2.0KAug 4, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?$1.24Aug 4, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUY0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$2.0KAug 4, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?$0.60Aug 4, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?$0.60Aug 4, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?$1.0KAug 4, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?$0.39Aug 4, 04:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $447.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 15:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 21:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.