Arctic-Gesture
0x5de5f07bad2158945c16cd8e5906cfa624301d2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$121.28
Total PnL
$-156.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
98 shares @ 20.3¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.97
$10.97
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.52
$-8.47
- YES
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$15.64
$-14.36
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
23 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.42
$-9.58
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.33
$0.33
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 75.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.02
$1.02
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
35 shares @ 29.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.50
$-3.60
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
117 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$9.09May 14, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$30.96May 14, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$31.12May 14, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$20.00May 9, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$20.61May 9, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$36.62Apr 7, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$20.00Mar 29, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$10.00Mar 20, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 20, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins$1.00Mar 20, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$2.00Mar 20, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$3.00Mar 20, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 20, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?$1.00Mar 19, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?$10.75Mar 4, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on March 3?$20.00Mar 4, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on March 4?$8.00Mar 4, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on March 3?$1.00Mar 3, 16:02 UTC
- SPLITUS seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?$1.00Mar 3, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?$1.62Mar 3, 15:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $10.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 00:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 21:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".