Spectacular-Joke
0x5e4708f164dcc975c26cfa7484f8afb31afedb27
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$364.38
Total PnL
$-203.62
Realised
$-12.46
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Trump say "Trump National" or "Trump International" in April?
346 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$346.00
$48.44
- NO
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
17 shares @ 74.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$16.90
$4.32
- NO
Will Brandon Miller lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.00
$0.03
- YES
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
1 shares @ 66.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.39
$-0.27
- YES
Will Edna DeVries advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
2 shares @ 14.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.10
$-0.18
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?
237 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-26.07
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 31 be less than 2,000,000?
205 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-53.30
- YES
Will Martin Kabrhel be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?
129 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.32
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?
112 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-34.72
- YES
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
92 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWaymo IPO before 2027?$527.45Apr 27, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump National" or "Trump International" in April?$297.56Apr 23, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWaymo IPO before 2027?$602.80Apr 23, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWaymo IPO before 2027?$356.90Apr 11, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWaymo IPO before 2027?$542.66Apr 11, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWaymo IPO before 2027?$920.48Apr 10, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition$4.00Apr 10, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$137.70Apr 9, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$5.67Apr 9, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$424.44Apr 9, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$62.15Apr 9, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$190.85Apr 9, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$97.02Apr 9, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$427.61Apr 7, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$110.40Apr 7, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$18.48Mar 31, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026?$110.70Mar 31, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026?$153.00Mar 31, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026?$126.45Mar 31, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1. FC Slovácko win on 2026-04-11?$129.12Mar 31, 01:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $236.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 20:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.