Hurtful-Stopwatch
0x5eb19d2c1bc3d9861f98100a3fce760607e1702d
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$104.24
Total PnL
$-70.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?
38 shares @ 66.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$36.58
$11.58
- NO
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
44 shares @ 68.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$36.40
$6.40
- YES
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
27 shares @ 75.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$22.80
$2.80
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?
24 shares @ 63.8¢·now 36.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$8.47
$-6.53
- NO
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
52 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?
44 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 83.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
29 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$30.006h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?$15.2217h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?$27.782d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$25.144d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$10.324d ago
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$25.164d ago
- REDEEMWill King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?$72.704d ago
- TRADEBUYWill King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?$50.624d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?$25.434d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?$20.224d ago
- REDEEMTrump re-sues WSJ by April 27?$23.665d ago
- TRADEBUYPakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?$25.005d ago
- REDEEMWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?$26.685d ago
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?$33.765d ago
- REDEEMWill "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$36.855d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?$20.006d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?$20.006d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump re-sues WSJ by April 27?$20.007d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)$26.907d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$20.008d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $22.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 12d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".