Simple-Store
0x5ef0577c529680fbeb26fb54527e8288745ac84a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$156.28
Total PnL
$-224.84
Realised
$-19.55
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
164 shares @ 98.0¢·now 68.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$112.91
$-47.81
- YES
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?
266 shares @ 39.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$22.61
$-81.13
- YES
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
81 shares @ 85.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.44
$-49.41
- YES
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?
71 shares @ 20.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.31
$-13.03
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
11 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.03
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
7 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- NO
Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
5 shares @ 84.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$1.00Jun 3, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by November 30?$194.00Jan 12, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?$68.85Jan 11, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$120.84Jan 11, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$60.04Jan 11, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$204.36Jan 9, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?$206.72Jan 9, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?$212.16Jan 9, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$142.23Jan 9, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLClaudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?$6.63Jan 9, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLClaudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?$127.92Jan 9, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLClaudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?$63.08Jan 9, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?$301.49Jan 9, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$142.23Jan 9, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$301.02Jan 9, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$42.63Jan 9, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$46.98Jan 9, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $48.43Jan 9, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $61.19Jan 9, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$127.89Jan 8, 22:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $127.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 07:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 08:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.