0x5ef968e75adfbeff1ff4b6d2816dc1f3cf945724
0x5ef968e75adfbeff1ff4b6d2816dc1f3cf945724
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$347.78
Total PnL
$-109.72
Realised
$-5.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 73.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.54
$1.54
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
17 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.02
$1.03
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
16 shares @ 93.2¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.10
$0.10
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
24 shares @ 62.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.91
$-1.09
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
22 shares @ 67.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$12.87
$-2.13
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
13 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.33
$0.33
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.64
$0.65
- NO
NATO article 5 before 2027?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.64
$0.64
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
11 shares @ 87.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.56
$0.56
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.56
$0.56
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?$2.00Jun 13, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?$6.98Jun 13, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?$7.25Jun 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$12.00Jun 13, 03:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$5.62Jun 12, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$11.11Jun 12, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$0.22Jun 12, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$15.00Jun 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$10.39Jun 12, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$15.16Jun 12, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$5.02Jun 12, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$1.94Jun 12, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$5.33Jun 12, 10:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?$4.15Jun 9, 03:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $8.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 06:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.