Prickly-Prostanoid
0x5f7bf33f595cd07ac2946a96ba2f41daee57ea70
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$416.60
Total PnL
$-758.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
422 shares @ 71.1¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$407.79
$107.79
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.31
$-9.69
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
2952 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
2500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
686 shares @ 59.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-409.71
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
246 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
75 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$303.47May 20, 14:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$10.00May 13, 20:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $95.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 07:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.