Expensive-Insurgence
0x5f8d00f1ffc63263367e9c4e71e826d4f0c16f61
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-5.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
3969 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.0K
$-19.84
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
882 shares @ 34.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$214.85
$-85.15
- NO
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
149 shares @ 67.2¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$124.98
$24.98
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
161 shares @ 62.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$108.06
$8.06
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
100 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$87.50
$2.50
- NO
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
192 shares @ 26.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.42
$14.42
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
83 shares @ 60.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.67
$6.67
- NO
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
106 shares @ 47.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.25
$5.25
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$41.63
$-8.37
- NO
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
248 shares @ 21.4¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.04
$-31.91
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$54.61May 16, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$101.31May 16, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$100.00May 16, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?$50.00May 16, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$65.00May 16, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$108.70May 16, 19:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 5, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $85.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".