Scrawny-Venture
0x5fa44ddbefd7c2962719dfbe14b9f164104dcd4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$227.62
Realised
$13.37
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
1594 shares @ 27.7¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$502.14
$60.11
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1594 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$263.82
$5.51
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1594 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$255.85
$-2.35
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
180 shares @ 73.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$176.40
$45.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
208 shares @ 71.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$175.76
$27.03
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1594 shares @ 11.2¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$153.83
$-24.77
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1594 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$125.14
$-16.67
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1594 shares @ 8.3¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$118.76
$-13.59
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
120 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.42
$-0.18
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
120 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.46
$0.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?$14.60Jun 14, 03:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$16.40Jun 13, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$78.43Jun 13, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$49.80Jun 13, 00:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$59.04Jun 13, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$0.00Jun 12, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$10.46Jun 12, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$13.79Jun 12, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$0.86Jun 12, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 30?$0.00Jun 12, 03:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.05Jun 11, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.08Jun 11, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.10Jun 11, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.15Jun 11, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.15Jun 11, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.07Jun 11, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.07Jun 11, 14:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 19:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.