0x5ff76a154854280e45b228ad3ebde97553449bc9
0x5ff76a154854280e45b228ad3ebde97553449bc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$58.91
Total PnL
$1.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of July 6 2026?
14 shares @ 30.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$7.38
$3.12
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.14
$2.21
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.87
$1.91
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
9 shares @ 48.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.76
$0.32
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$4.64
$-0.30
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
10 shares @ 54.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.61
$-0.58
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.11
$-0.82
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
8 shares @ 56.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.91
$-0.65
- YES
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
8 shares @ 40.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.14
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?$4.99Jul 7, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?$4.91Jul 6, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Jul 6, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of July 6 2026?$4.38Jul 6, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.24Jul 4, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.08Jul 1, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$7.81Jul 1, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 21, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$0.00Jun 20, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$0.00Jun 19, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?$1.55Jun 18, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$5.09Jun 18, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$8.00Jun 18, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?$0.00Jun 17, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?$0.00Jun 13, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2.10Jun 13, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?$1.30Jun 12, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$4.83Jun 11, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?$7.35Jun 5, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?$5.06Jun 1, 06:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.