Forked-Shirt
0x607816d50c0ecce275f6ec36e09db1470513dbae
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$724.86
Total PnL
$3.22
Realised
$5.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
301 shares @ 65.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$262.97
$66.48
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
202 shares @ 57.8¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$91.96
$-24.86
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 66.8¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$68.72
$1.72
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
75 shares @ 56.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$61.88
$19.65
- YES
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
100 shares @ 55.8¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.22
$-2.80
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
45 shares @ 54.9¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.94
$5.94
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
47 shares @ 52.6¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.69
$-0.31
- YES
AWS service disrupted by June 30?
76 shares @ 32.9¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
36 shares @ 68.9¢·now 64.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.48
$-1.53
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
115 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.86
$-0.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMPistons vs. Magic$16.132h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$25.474h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$25.004h ago
- TRADEBUYAWS service disrupted by June 30?$25.674h ago
- YIELD$0.005h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$60.008h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$25.008h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$5.008h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$5.008h ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$197.668h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$7.0015h ago
- TRADEBUYShanxi Loongs vs. Qingdao Eagles$10.1015h ago
- TRADEBUYNingbo Rockets vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls$10.1115h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?$11.2115h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$38.1915h ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Andorra win on 2026-05-01?$10.1116h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?$20.3216h ago
- TRADESELLKBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Samsung Lions$15.2316h ago
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$6.1316h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 2?$10.3016h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $19.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".