Crushing-Pin
0x60c4973d56d7fa499d7f28ed3c5410fe26798627
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
4671 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 31?
2165 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-65.20
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
2138 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-62.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
2115 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
1798 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-645.99
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
1722 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-470.93
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
1500 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-165.00
- YES
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
1228 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-420.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
1222 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-666.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.13Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$0.37Jun 22, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$269.96Jun 21, 07:59 UTC
- REWARD$2.94Jun 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$153.22Jun 19, 20:56 UTC
- REWARD$3.15Jun 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$68.00Jun 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$92.03Jun 18, 14:52 UTC
- REWARD$3.55Jun 18, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$2.38Jun 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$12.39Jun 16, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$50.23May 1, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$52.09May 1, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$16.69May 1, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$265.53May 1, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$283.37May 1, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$148.52Mar 6, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$100.00Mar 3, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$120.00Mar 3, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$30.66Mar 3, 09:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $79.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.