Determined-Valuable
0x614dc8d3542c12103d2c6a3553fd761e391d1546
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$641.0K
Total PnL
$119.8K
Realised
$16.7K
Win rate
53%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
117168 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$115.6K
$16.0K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
80000 shares @ 69.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.8K
$10.9K
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
80000 shares @ 59.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.6K
$16.4K
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
113702 shares @ 39.1¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.7K
$15.3K
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
57093 shares @ 53.5¢·now 74.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.6K
$12.1K
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
41680 shares @ 82.7¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$41.0K
$6.5K
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
48820 shares @ 65.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.3K
$6.6K
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
40046 shares @ 88.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.4K
$2.0K
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
37000 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$36.2K
$743.59
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
19621 shares @ 54.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.4K
$6.6K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.0KJun 13, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2.3KJun 13, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$794.87Jun 13, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.4KJun 13, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$4.2KJun 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$347.35Jun 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$1.9KJun 13, 07:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$23.56Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.76Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$69.75Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$13.2KJun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$9.4KJun 12, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$337.33Jun 12, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$366.67Jun 12, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$8.8KJun 12, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$89.00Jun 12, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$26.13Jun 12, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$26.13Jun 12, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$25.17Jun 12, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$174.20Jun 12, 18:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$47.7K
Trades
7
Buy share
87%
Window
May 21, 14:20 UTC → Jun 10, 00:00 UTC
- SELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.0K@40¢Jun 10, 00:00 UTC
- BUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$5.4K@96¢May 30, 06:04 UTC
- BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$7.6K@76¢May 29, 23:56 UTC
- BUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$7.3K@77¢May 28, 19:34 UTC
- BUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$6.0K@93¢May 22, 21:55 UTC
- BUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$8.0K@86¢May 22, 21:46 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$7.5K@100¢May 21, 14:12 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$6.0K
1 trades
30d volume
$47.7K
7 trades
Buy share
87%
Sample
limited
7 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
$14.0K · 29% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $927.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 16:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.