Scratchy-Transparency
0x615b2f555b75ffaf362b40bdedff194a244b99dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$44.50
Total PnL
$-8.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?
11 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$11.02
$0.02
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Solana reach $140 in May?
4 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.47
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
625 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$3.47May 8, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 8, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.00May 8, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.00May 7, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.00May 7, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $140 in May?$4.00May 7, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?$3.00May 6, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.00May 6, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.00May 5, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 in May?$5.00May 5, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 in May?$2.00May 5, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 in May?$4.00May 5, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.87May 5, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600b and $610b on April 30?$1.90May 5, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.50May 5, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.71May 5, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?$2.81May 5, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?$3.03May 5, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$3.10May 5, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.40May 5, 07:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 00:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".