Wee-Matchmaker
0x61837ce7e447a35cafd173dec3e0815326003834
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$280.42
Realised
$246.84
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
669 shares @ 76.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$565.29
$53.50
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
549 shares @ 84.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$499.32
$35.03
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
330 shares @ 89.2¢·now 93.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$307.56
$13.16
- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
314 shares @ 78.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$281.06
$33.83
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
250 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$241.50
$1.50
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
235 shares @ 80.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$198.33
$8.38
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
200 shares @ 91.3¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$193.30
$10.60
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
200 shares @ 76.5¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$163.09
$10.10
- NO
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
167 shares @ 75.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$151.16
$24.45
- YES
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?
159 shares @ 70.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$148.33
$35.86
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$29.65Jul 23, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$29.24Jul 23, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$29.24Jul 23, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$1.43Jul 23, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$14.62Jul 23, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$17.40Jul 23, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$1.61Jul 23, 08:51 UTC
- REWARD$1.32Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$1.33Jul 22, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$0.23Jul 22, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$0.23Jul 22, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$0.23Jul 22, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$0.23Jul 22, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$4.85Jul 22, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$4.85Jul 22, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$5.27Jul 22, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$7.45Jul 22, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$1.00Jul 22, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in July?$23.11Jul 22, 13:51 UTC
- REWARD$1.31Jul 21, 04:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $29.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 17:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 14:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.